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Enhanced System Planning Project

At a glance

The Enhanced System Planning (ESP) project was a significant, collaborative research project aimed at informing electricity planning in Australia beyond 2030. Under the project, proven methodologies and approaches for bottom-up modelling were developed and opportunities for significant financial savings identified through the distribution system and integrating consumer and distributed energy resources (CER and DER) to inform whole-of-system planning. A Final Report outlines the ESP approach, findings and recommendations as well as a roadmap for implementation to achieve the benefits outlined.

  • Final Report published June 2025
  • $3.6M total cash investment
  • 5 universities
  • 11 partner organisations
  • 15 research projects
  • 23 detailed recommendations
  • 100+ researcher, industry & government personnel 
  • directly contributing.
  • Findings include potential for $ billions in savings and an implementable roadmap that integrates with existing grid planning methodologies

The Challenge

  • No whole-of-system model exists to plan for mass adoption of DER/CER, electric vehicles and electrification
  • Fragmented planning and limited distribution level data visibility to inform policy and decision making
  • Rising system costs and risks of misalignment between distribution and transmission network investment

The transformation facing Australia’s National Electricity Market (NEM) over the next 30 years is without precedent. Traditional approaches to electricity network planning are being challenged by increases in consumer and distributed energy resources (CER and DER), demand due to the electrification of residential energy use (including transport) and even the introduction of data centres. These challenges are further exacerbated by the shift from conventional to renewable energy generation. Major electricity network augmentation will be required to accommodate these changes.

The electricity distribution system is facing challenges but also holds solutions to these changing grid needs. While in the past, the distribution system could be thought of as simply a net load, it is now a critical priority to include this increasingly “active” electricity network in an updated, coordinated, whole of electricity system planning and operation approach to enable an efficient, cost-effective grid evolution.

The challenge is that there is currently no agreed methodological approach for incorporating bottom-up electricity distribution system considerations into an integrated, sector-wide framework for system planning and operation.

What is Enhanced System Planning?

C4NET’s Enhanced System Planning (ESP) project is a major research undertaking that provides proven methodologies, models, and a roadmap to inform electricity planning below transmission level beyond 2030.

Over a two-year period, C4NET brought together over 100 university, industry, and government personnel to deliver 15 research projects that involved sophisticated electricity distribution network simulations and techno-economic modelling using distribution network data in a unique collaboration to update infrastructure utilisation modelling. The Victorian Government Department of Energy, Environment and Climate Action (DEECA) and AEMO also participated to ensure that system planning, policy and regulation are informed by project outcomes, and vice versa.

What we delivered

A summary of the ESP approach, findings, recommendations, and next steps are contained in the ESP Final Report. 

The ESP delivered bottom-up electricity distribution network modelling, scalable tools, and models to assess future residential load, CER/DER and electrification impacts, repeatable data-sharing methods and planning frameworks using distribution network service provider (DNSP) data. It also compared flexible and traditional infrastructure pathways to lower system costs. 

The models and outcomes generated by the ESP are designed to cover both network and non-network solutions at all levels of distribution networks (high, medium, and low voltage). Whilst modelled on Victorian case studies, they are nationally relevant and ready to be built for national application to support and feed into the Australian Energy Market Operator’s (AEMO) Integrated System Plan (ISP) process to inform whole of system planning.

The Project Reports tab provides a suite of documents including C4NET’s ESP Final Report, Summary Reports and Research Reports for each work program, and select data and models.

What we found

The approach outlined in the ESP Final Report builds practical foundations for cost-effective, integrated, coordinated, system-wide energy planning across the NEM. It enables better system coordination and policy alignment, reducing duplication and delays, and informs more timely, cost-effective infrastructure investment and a reduction of total energy system costs for consumer benefit. 

The ESP approach was shown to result in:

  • Lower costs for all users – co-optimisation of planning and operation of integrated transmission and distribution systems.
  • Reduced transmission investment – directional savings of over 25% on transmission expansion through the connection of solar and wind generation combined with storage in the high voltage (sub-transmission) part of the distribution network, representing multi-billion dollar savings if valid across the NEM more broadly.
  • A more efficient transformation pathway – harnessing CER/DER flexibility at all network levels to lower the infrastructure investment costs, reduce uncertainty and utilise existing capacity for faster renewable adoption
  • A means to adopt – the ESP project has addressed many of the methodological gaps in national adoption and is designed to complement the ISP’s current evolution as outlined by the ECMC ISP review actions.

These findings, along with other insights, are detailed in the ESP Final Report.

Next steps

The research outcomes showed that distribution system considerations are critical for whole of system planning and must be integrated as a priority to avoid over-investment in the energy system: the process and regulatory changes to support this evolution should start now. 

To support this, the ESP Final Report contains:

  • A roadmap for the implementation the ESP approach to integrated whole-of-system planning that follows a bottom-up, physics-based, techno-economic approach. 
  • The policy development, operational and regulatory reforms required to make the approach effective. 
  • A total of 23 recommendations for AEMO, DNSPs, policy-makers and regulatory bodies to support the ESP’s implementation.

ESP report structure

The Project Reports tab provides a suite of downloadable documents including C4NET’s ESP Final Report, Summary Reports, Research Reports and Literature Review for each work program, select data and models, assumptions books and a Q and A (question and answer) document.

Project Partners

The ESP project was generously supported by the project partners listed below.

Project Partners: C4NET

ESP Project Reports

Provided in the sections below is a suite of downloadable documents including C4NET’s ESP Final Report, Summary Reports, Research Reports and Literature Review for each work program, select data and models, assumptions books and a Q and A document.

  • Final Report: program overview, including executive summary, program design, findings, a roadmap, and recommendations for next steps.
  • Summary reports: detailed findings of each individual work package, stakeholder considerations and further research directions. 
  • Research reports: independent university research findings. 
  • Literature review: each work program provided a literature review in support of their research.
  • Data and models: the data used, and models developed by researchers are provided for select work packages.
  • Assumptions Books: lists of all assumptions used across the ESP work program.
  • Q and A: answers to common questions stakeholders may have about the ESP program.

ESP Final Report

The Enhanced System Planning (ESP) project was a significant, collaborative research project aimed at informing electricity planning in Australia beyond 2030. Under the project, proven methodologies and approaches for bottom-up modelling were developed and opportunities for significant financial savings identified through the distribution system and integrating consumer and distributed energy resources (CER and DER) to inform whole-of-system planning. A Final Report outlines the ESP approach, findings and recommendations as well as a roadmap for implementation to achieve the benefits outlined.

Q & A Document

A question and answers document provides answers to common questions stakeholders may have about the ESP program.

Q & A document

Assumptions Books

These files provide a common log, contributed by the researchers of each work package, of all assumptions used in calculations and arriving at outputs across the ESP program. 

Assumptions book 1

Assumptions book 2

WP 1.1 - Technical modelling of electrification of heating (and cooling) profiles

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This study focused on the development of technical models for the electrification of heating and cooling profiles. This included the creation of a modelling approach and tool for aggregated electrified thermal demand profiles which were utilised by other ESP work packages.

Researchers also developed a multi-parametric modelling tool available in Excel or Python, specifically designed for LV-level aggregated electrified thermal demand profiles. A comprehensive report summarises input data, assumptions, and case study applications.

Modelling of demand response capabilities: Multi-parametric modelling tool for LV level aggregated electrified thermal demand profiles (16GB ZIP file)

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report

Download

WP 1.2 - Technical modelling of electrification of transport profiles

Partners

Monash University

Summary

This study focused on the technical modelling of the electrification of transport profiles, specifically emphasising electric vehicle (EV) charging patterns. This research also focused on the development of EV charging load profiles, considering the integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems and vehicle-to-building/vehicle-to-grid (V2B/V2G) technologies.

The model includes detailed datasets and reports, providing aggregated load profiles to be used in post-2030 modellings.

 

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Non-PV Aggregation - Monash University

Download

Non-PV Disaggregation - Monash University

Download

PV Aggregation & Disaggregation - Monash University

Download

V2B & V2H Analytical Methodology and Results - Monash University

Download

WP 1.3.1 - Scenario Planning

Partners

Federation University

Summary

This study focused on scenario planning for transport uptake, heating (cooling) patterns, and geographically diverse distributed energy resources (DER) information including reconciliation with existing models.

The research evaluated risks and uncertainties arising from the reconciliation process, contributing insights into energy and transportation systems planning.

Literature Review

Download

WP 1.3.2 - Fairly integrating DERs into the NEM: Consumers’ policy perceptions

Partners

Deakin University

Summary

This study explored the equitable integration of consumer/distributed energy resources (CER/DERs) into the National Electricity Market (NEM) by investigating consumers’ policy perceptions.

This work produced valuable consumer insights and scenario options to guide the broader ESP program and informs and supports AEMO’s consideration of CER/DER orchestration/coordination.

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report 1

Download

Final Research Report 2

Download

WP 1.4 - Victoria whole-distribution network architecture via synthetic network models

Partners

RMIT

Summary

This study used synthetic network models to develop a whole-distribution network architecture for Victoria. The research prepared a representative model of Victorian networks for impact assessment and power system studies and for reconciliation with a top-down view of transmission planning (for example, ISP scenarios) and similar scenarios used for other studies (e.g., to inform policy).

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report

Download

WP 1.5 & 1.6 - Integrated MV-LV network studies for electrification impacts Partners

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This combined study focused on the electrification impact of heating, cooling, domestic hot water and electric vehicle charging. The first study focused on integrated MV-LV network studies of aggregated demand profiles, including consideration of the impact of different technology mixes on networks and the development of bottom-up studies on a larger range of realistic networks. The second study assessed the whole-state network impact of electrification, including the transmission system equivalent, developing impact metric and aggregated profiles (including DER) for different regions/substations across Victoria.

C4NET ESP Summary Report WP 1.5 & 1.6

Download

Literature Review WP 1.5

Download

Literature Review WP 1.6

Download

Final Research Report WP 1.5

Download

Final Research Report WP 1.6

Download

WP 2.7 & 2.8 - Techno-economic modelling and impact of demand-side electrification flexibility options to enhance network hosting capacity

Partners

RMIT University

Monash University

Summary

This combined study explored how different technical incentives and approaches influence shifting and responsiveness of loads. This included assessing the overall impact on profiles, and the suitability of different business models and control approaches based on future market structures.

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report

Download

WP 2.9 - Techno-economic modelling, electrification impact assessment and planning methodologies to value non-network solutions

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This study developed a techno-economic assessment of the benefits of future intelligence in networks, including non-network solutions and CER/DER flexibility in general, in reducing network investment costs and risks.

 

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report

Download

WP 2.10 - Techno-economic modelling of alternative/complementary storage options

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This study modelled approaches to assess the optimal mix of storage options in different scenarios, including virtual storage options emerging through electrification, in conjunction with PV developments, controllable or schedulable loads and the contribution of different flexible DER segments (hot water storage, EV  charging stations, V2G or V2B).

 

 

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Report

Download

Final Research Report

Download

Data Modelling - Storage Profiles

Download

WP 3.11 & 3.12 - TSO-DSO interface steady-state model of aggregated DER as an activity entity and modelling integrated system performance

Partners

Federation University

Summary

This study developed the load capability/flexibility aggregation of DER for the distribution system’s equivalent representation, and integration with the transmission system, as a steady state model. It also developed datasets and modelling approaches that assess the potential of active distribution systems to provide system level services, for potential incorporation in planning or market studies. The research focused on the potential contribution of and benefits from electrified systems and DER to provide system security reliability and resilience services with deeper penetration of renewables. Consideration was also be given to the role of frequency response and various services that deal with minimum load.

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review 3.11

Download

Literature Review 3.12

Download

Final Research Report 3.11

Download

Final Research Report 3.12

Download

Open Source Tool 3.11

Download

WP 3.13 - Investment-coupled whole system planning

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This study assessed how network and general resource investments could be optimally distributed across the whole system, from transmission to distribution, including an assessment of trade-offs between transmission level and distribution level investment options in network and non-network solutions in the presence of an active distribution system and DER.

C4NET ESP Summary Report

Download

Literature Review

Download

Final Research Report

Download

WP 3.14 - Stakeholder implications and recommendations

Partners

University of Melbourne

Summary

This study provides a summary of implications and general insights for network and system planners, policy makers and regulators.

Final Research Report

Download

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